Economic Calendar London/NY Session


 

I think it’s safe to say that the market is waiting for the US Nonfarm Payrolls number tomorrow. There are numbers out in Europe, UK, and India that can have an interim impact in those specific currencies but the USD trend won’t be determined until the all-important all-consuming NFP. I have included a table of the last six months of reports (actual vs. forecast and the revision to previous). I don’t think there is anything to be gleaned from this information other than its inconsistency (actual vs. forecast). The only thing that I noticed is this is the highest forecast since last April, when the call was for 200K and it came in well below that number at 88K. I’m trying not to be paranoid but it seems the bar is pretty high and we may be setting up this number for failure. Either way I am square and plan on being that way until the dust settles.

 

 

Nonfarm Payrolls

Release Date

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Mar. 07, 2014

175K

149K 

129K

Feb. 07, 2014

113K

185K 

75K

Jan. 10, 2014

74K

196K 

241K

Dec. 06, 2013

203K

180K 

200K

Nov. 08, 2013

204K

125K 

163K

Oct. 22, 2013

148K

180K 

193

 

 

Time

Cur.

Event

Forecast

Previous

02:00

  EUR

German Factory Orders (MoM)

0.1%

1.2%

 

03:00

  GBP

Halifax House Price Index (MoM)

 

2.4%

 

03:00

  GBP

Halifax House Price Index (YoY)

 

7.9%

 

04:10

  EUR

Retail PMI

 

48.5

 

07:30

  INR

Indian Bank Loan Growth

 

14.70%

 

07:30

  INR

Indian FX Reserves, USD

 

298.64B

 

08:30

  CAD

Employment Change

21.5K

-7.0K

 

08:30

  CAD

Full Employment Change

 

18.9K

 

08:30

  CAD

Part Time Employment Change

 

-25.9K

 

08:30

  CAD

Participation Rate

66.0%

66.2%

 

08:30

  CAD

Unemployment Rate

7.0%

7.0%

 

08:30

  USD

Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)

0.2%

0.4%

 

08:30

  USD

Average Weekly Hours

34.4

34.2

 

08:30

  USD

Nonfarm Payrolls

200K

175K

 

08:30

  USD

Private Nonfarm Payrolls

195K

162K

 

08:30

  USD

Unemployment Rate

6.6%

6.7%

 

09:30

  BRL

Brazilian Auto Sales (MoM)

 

-17.00%

 

10:00

  CAD

Ivey PMI

59.0

57.2

 

10:30

  USD

ECRI Weekly Annualized (WoW)

 

2.9%

 

 



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